Author : Emmanuel Olorunyomi AREMU
In this study, we examined Nigeria’s energy crisis, which is exacerbated by population growth and climate change. It focuses on the future availability of water for hydropower in the Niger River Basin. The objectives include evaluating the impacts of climate change on the water balance and hydropower. We aimed at estimating the potential for green hydrogen production from the Jebba dams. Using hydroclimatic data and modeling and analyzing trends from 1984 to 2009, and projecting to 2100. Our results show that past hydropower output (1988-2018) increased due to rising river flows. We identified a future window of opportunity (2025-2065) for increased water availability to support energy production. After 2065, high-emission scenarios (SSP585) project drier conditions and reduced energy potential.